Global stocks split on China, US consumer confidence
European and Asian stocks climbed Tuesday and oil prices rallied as China relaxed hard-line Covid-19 policies, but Wall Street equities tumbled following weak consumer confidence data.
In a major shift, Chinese authorities shortened quarantine for inbound travelers to just 10 days instead of three weeks, fueling hopes of recovery for the world's second largest economy.
The cities of Beijing and Shanghai also reported no Covid cases on Tuesday, suggesting they had largely contained outbreaks that forced tens of millions to stay home and snarled up global supply chain chains.
"The Covid crisis appears to be rapidly retreating in China," noted Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.
"The prospects of rapid recovery for the world's second largest economy is helping lift miners, as metals prices rise in expectation of a surge in demand in the commodity-hungry economy."
Asian equity markets closed higher, with both Hong Kong and Shanghai rising 0.9 percent.
Traders also digested comments from European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, who said the ECB would go "as far as necessary" to fight inflation that is set to remain "undesirably high."
Paris rose 0.6 percent and Frankfurt added 0.4 percent. London climbed 0.9 percent.
US stocks also opened solidly higher but dropped into negative territory soon thereafter following a consumer confidence reading at its lowest level in more than a year on surging inflation.
The downcast report was due in part to the feeling higher prices would persist, suggesting consumers aren't sure the Federal Reserve's aggressive efforts to tame inflation will work.
"We could have some difficult days ahead of us," said Gregori Volokhine of Meeschaert Financial Services.
Dana Peterson, The Conference Board's chief economist, warned the United States will likely see a recession in late 2022.
"We are anticipating a brief yet shallow recession starting in the fourth quarter of this year and extending into the first quarter of next year," she said during a Politico event.
US selling accelerated throughout the day, with the broad-based S&P 500 finishing two percent lower.
US equities also fell on Monday after last week's strong gains in a rally that some are now doubting.
"It looks like investors are potentially underestimating the big macro risks facing them by bidding up equity prices over the last few days," City Index analyst Fawad Razaqzada told AFP.
"It is far too early to be optimistic that this latest recovery will hold."
Oil prices, a major driver of the soaring inflation, rose again on fears of further supply tightening, in addition to prospects for higher Chinese demand.
This comes after G7 leaders agreed to work on a price cap for Russian oil, a US official said Tuesday, as part of efforts to cut the Kremlin's revenues.
- Key figures at around 2030 GMT -
New York - Dow: DOWN 1.6 percent at 30,946.99 (close)
New York - S&P 500: DOWN 2.0 percent at 3,821.55 (close)
New York - Nasdaq: DOWN 3.0 percent at 11,181.54 (close)
London - FTSE 100: UP 0.9 percent at 7,323.41 (close)
Frankfurt - DAX: UP 0.4 percent at 13,231.82 (close)
Paris - CAC 40: UP 0.6 percent at 6,086.02 (close)
EURO STOXX 50: UP 0.3 percent at 3,549.29 (close)
Tokyo - Nikkei 225: UP 0.7 percent at 27,049.47 (close)
Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: UP 0.9 percent at 22,418.97 (close)
Shanghai - Composite: UP 0.9 percent at 3,409.21 (close)
Brent North Sea crude: UP 2.5 percent at $117.98 per barrel
West Texas Intermediate: UP 2.0 percent at $111.76 per barrel
Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.0525 from $1.0584 Monday
Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.2187 from $1.2265
Euro/pound: UP at 86.32 pence from 86.29 pence
Dollar/yen: UP at 136.20 yen from 135.46 yen
burs-jmb
F.Bauer--MP
